Paul Hunter, Professor in Medication on the College of East Anglia (UEA) has mentioned there isn’t any want for a lockdown if the fast improve of Omicron circumstances look like slowing.
He advised the PA information company that measures akin to social distancing and lockdowns “by no means in the end stop an infection until eradication is a chance.”
He warned that lockdowns ultimatley “delay the inevitable” so the primary situation is all about flattening the height.
Professor Hunter added, “What they do is flatten the curve and delay the inevitable. Typically that’s enough if the epidemic would overwhelm the well being service, or if efficient new remedies or vaccines are coming.
“No new remedies or vaccines are prone to come quickly so the difficulty is all about flattening the height.
“However should you flatten the height you lengthen the epidemic, or as we are saying, ‘the realm underneath the curve stays the identical’.”
Nonetheless he warned that ought to Omicron continues to double each two days “then it might not be lengthy earlier than we bought to noticeably excessive numbers that might finally put the NHS underneath a dreadful pressure and underneath some predictions might in the end overwhelm the NHS.”
Professor Hunter mentioned that underneath some modelling situations ought to the federal government have a “lockdown after Christmas would most likely be too late.”
He added, “If restrictions are usually not wanted then they might solely delay sickness and lengthen the impression on well being companies in addition to the opposite unfavorable impacts that lockdowns have on our wellbeing.”
He mentioned the “newest knowledge means that complete case numbers, and due to this fact Omicron, might have already got plateaued and even peaked.
“Certainly, an infection numbers might have fallen barely in the previous few days.”
He mentioned that on Wednesday extra knowledge will likely be printed, which is able to make the development clearer, and advised Instances Radio that “it appears as if this earlier fast improve might have slowed fairly dramatically, and if that’s the case, then there most likely isn’t a necessity for a lockdown.”