Odds on Rishi Sunak to be the subsequent Tory chief have drifted but once more to three/1 from 2/1 in a single day after Monday night’s televised debate, in the meantime, Liz Truss stays the sturdy 1/3 odds-on favorite to switch Boris Johnson.
Earlier than Johnson resigned, the Conservatives have been 13/5 to win a majority on the subsequent Common Election, however they’re now 3/1, whereas Labour’s odds have shortened to 7/2 from 9/2.
Rishi Sunak vs Liz Truss: The proportion probability of turning into the subsequent Conservative chief since Boris Johnson resigned
Betfair Alternate: Subsequent Conservative chief
Liz Truss: 1/3 (was 1/2 on Monday night
Rishi Sunak: 3/1 (was 2/1 on Monday night)
Betfair Alternate: Total majority at subsequent Common Election
No majority: 5/6
Conservative majority: 3/1
Labour majority: 7/2
Betfair spokesperson Sam Rosbottom stated, “After the newest televised debate between Rishi Sunak and Liz Truss on Monday night time, odds on the previous chancellor to be the subsequent Tory chief have drifted to three/1 from 13/5.
“That’s regardless of a snap ballot by Opinium discovering 39% of individuals believed Sunak carried out higher than Truss, who had 38% of the votes. In the meantime, Truss stays the odds-on favourite at 1/3 to switch Boris Johnson.
“Wanting on the share probability for the 2 candidates, Truss has seen a meteoric rise since Johnson introduced his resignation.
“She had lower than a ten% probability of turning into the subsequent Conservative chief again then, nevertheless, the tables have turned and in line with the chances on Betfair Alternate, she now has a whopping 76% probability of successful the management race.
“In the meantime, Sunak’s probabilities have peaked and troughed, however for the reason that closing two has been confirmed, his probabilities have been on the decline.”